Lunar Declinational Affects on Tornado Production

So how to show what was obvious, that the declinational flow surges from the lunar tides, produce most of the severe weather outbreaks, and drives both the short period, and decade length atmospheric patterns of ocean basin oscillations, I thought? Since the correlation seen in the severe weather outbreaks was so pronounced.

Tornadoes are very hard to forecast with the models, so I tried sorting patterns of tornado production, by periods of 27.32 days, to look for patterns in the 18.6 Mn cycle, and compare the 19 year Metonic cycle, to the other side bands, the ~18 year period Saros cycles, ~6558 day cycles. The data base used starts with January 1, 1950 and runs to end of 2009.

Results posted below….

First graph is the way tornado production is looked at by the mainstream, total number by Julian date….

Tornado production by date (click to enlarge)

verses the way it looks expanded vertically by lunar declination on the Y axis X axis still Julian date…

Tornado production by date expanded by lunar declination (click to enlarge)

The 2009 tornado production and 6558 day period past patterns expanded out with color legend

2009 Tornado production expanded for clarity, in all plots the bubble volume indicates total number of tornadoes per day, and are color coded in order of cycle#1 blue,2 red, 3 green, current orange.

The repeating 19 year Metonic cycle pattern expanded out.

19 year Metonic cycle pattern expanded out.(click to enlarge)

When I looked at the plotting by Saros cycle, the patterns snapped together much better, and shows tighter, more repeatable patterns, meaning the inner planets being included helped.

Tornado production by Saros cycle of 6585 days (click to enlarge)

Because of the 240 / 241 Lunar Declination Tide (LDT4) four fold symmetry used to produce the weather maps, I also plotted the 6558 day cycle as well.

Tornado production by 6558 day cycle (click to enlarge)

For additional close up inspection I also show expanded three year segments of the above, so you could look at the effects of the rhythmic clumping as the atmospheric declinational tides come in and out of phase with the natural period peaks when the Lunar and Solar apparent declinational angle is 23.5 degrees. The forecast maps use a slightly different starting date synchronization, as discussed in the text portions. To compensate on seasonal drift of the patterns, for a better lock into the present cycle.

Below is an expanded scale of the production for 2008, 2009 and would be 2010, to compare the past Metonic cycles to the present cycle, for a better detailed comparison, for forecasting of probabilities.

Metonic cycle pattern expanded for 2008 - 2010 overlap (click to enlarge)

Then the same current three years referenced by the Saros cycle past history…

Saros cycle pattern expanded for 2008 - 2010 overlap (click to enlarge)

Then the same current three years for the 6558 day long period.

6558 day cyclic pattern expanded for 2008 - 2010 overlap (click to enlarge)

Either way I display the Saros or 6558 day pattern there will be a skewing of the date from one cycle to the next, that shifts the relative date the current pattern, falls on from the past patterns. More investigation needs to be done to establish the best combination of sorting the cycles and their interactions for the best answer to use in forecasting the timing and expected numbers of current cycle tornado production. There seems to be more tornadoes when there are fewer hurricanes and vis versa, something to do with the blending of the harmonics, and power contained in the resultant size of the system, changing with beat frequency.

There is a lot going on in the magnetic interaction of the solar output with the outer planetary coupling via the solar wind as the earth passes them, this spring on the 22nd March the moon is Maximum north and we are having a Synod conjunction with Saturn which should bring in an additional tidal surge of positively charges air mass, to wring out a lot more moisture the week after the 20th, that will be generating tornadoes here.

When this surge comes up into the Northern mid-latitudes, it will be bringing moisture that is carried in an air mass that will have a higher dew point that the surface temperature of the ground underneath of it. As this overruns the surface it will push the heat of condensation into the colder ground, bringing the temp of the top soil up to the dew point during the night, and letting the sun warm it during the day, irregardless of any heat transfer via rain fall. This happens every spring but also every, Synod conjunction as well to some extent, and shows up as part of the background global warming signal, as they like to call it. (Also the method of positive ion induction into glacial ice to promote glacial surging.)

With the heliocentric passing or Synod conjunctions of outer planets like we had with Neptune and Uranus, due to their slow relative movement across the star field, the (felt annually) total combined field strength as the earth passed them kept growing, up to the point of their heliocentric conjunction on April 20th 1993, then started to decrease again. The Earth passed them on July12th in 1993, and as they started to separate again by about ~3 days further apart per year, as seen from the earth’s orbit, their combined magnetic fields strength dropped off and spread out, as well as shifted (~2.5 days for Neptune, ~4.5 days per year for Uranus) later into the year.
Their combined effects were felt until around 2005 the same time the Lunar declination angle peaked and started to decline producing the surge of hurricanes during that period. The addition warm moisture brought into the mid-latitudes from these alignments occurred in mid summer. Now these surges are bringing in the moisture that is being used to produce the wet falls and “unusual” snows in lower latitudes due to the slower solar activity, and I fully expect the wetter falls and massive winter snows for the NE USA and Europe to continue for quite a while (until those big planets move further past the fall and winter seasons, into spring). Then expect much more heavy rains in the springs until they separate enough to look “normal” again.

Filed under: — by Richard Holle @ 3:37 am on March 6, 2011