Santa Ana winds
Richard Holle says:
Ric Werme says:
September 29, 2010 at 11:28 am
Ryan Maue says:
September 29, 2010 at 9:12 am
“”[ryanm: it’s clear that Santa Ana wind events, i.e. offshore flow are becoming more intense, consistent with what is expected/predicted by climate models. those 2.5×2.5 grid cells resolve those mountain passes perfectly]“”
(I hope you are being sarcastic?) If the Santa Ana winds are being produced by the lunar tidal process, and enhanced by the outer planetary conjunctions, then the number and intensity should drop off as the total of these two effects will not be combining to produces an event as large as this one until Saturn or Jupiter comes close to a conjunction with either Neptune or Uranus, while the earth is in the area, in boreal Autumn.
The potential for this to happen again, IF it is the driving factor in increasing the intensity can be calculated by the use of a heliocentric ephemeris, and similar weather patterns forecast to be expected.
would be my place to start.
Today the moon is Maximum North declinational culmination @ ~23.7 degrees, the enhanced primary tidal bulge in the atmosphere just East of the Rocky Mountains is centered over Huntsville, Alabama, where it has been pivoting around for two days. With the polar air to the west of Huntsville and the equatorial air mass East to the middle of the North Atlantic Ocean.
For the next six days we should continue to see the high precip rates move North along the eastern seaboard. Starting early yesterday the 28th those two areas of tropical moisture off the west coast of Africa now at 12.5 deg N and 50 deg W being the “dig daddy” with his “little sister” to the east, should become active with real circulation and eyes like a normal TS, like Igor and Julie or Earl and Fiona, did earlier.
With a large swath of Precipitation up along the Eastern seaboard starting on October the 7th. (see the daily maps on my site) being off of the coast of Maine and Newfoundland by the 12th or 13th October 2010, when the Moon will be maximum South.
I expect a large flow or tropical moisture to come into the Western side of the Gulf of Mexico, starting on the 10th. and running until the 14th or 15th of October 2010, with a general return flow of much more moisture up into the Central plains from Texas, Mexico, and the gulf states for the whole 27.32 day cycle.
I don’t mean to be antagonistic, just sticking my neck out of my shell, the truth will be the ax wielder.